Odell Beckham Jr. Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Odell Beckham Jr.

NFL · Player Props

Odell Beckham Jr.

WR · Baltimore Ravens

Receptions

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 18, 2023 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Odell Beckham Jr. Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-195/+145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -180 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -195.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing teams have averaged 39.4 pass attempts per game versus the Jaguars defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.
The Ravens O-line grades out as the best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all air attack statistics across the board.

Favors Under

This week's spread indicates a running game script for the Ravens, who are favored by 4 points.
The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 3rd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 50.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect the Baltimore Ravens offense to be the 4th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 29.09 seconds per play.
Odell Beckham Jr. rates as one of the most hard-handed receivers in the league, catching a measly 58.2% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 21st percentile among wide receivers
The Jaguars cornerbacks rank as the 7th-best group of CBs in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

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