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Odell Beckham Jr.

Odell Beckham Jr. Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Baltimore Ravens vs Los Angeles Rams

Odell Beckham Jr. Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Ravens feature a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Todd Monken, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to lean 3.5% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Ravens are expected by the projection model to run 66.7 total plays in this contest: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.

Opposing teams have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.

Odell Beckham Jr. ranks in the 78th percentile among wideouts this year with a monstrous 23.9% of his offense's air yards accumulated.

As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all air attack stats), the offensive line of the Baltimore Ravens grades out as the 2nd-best in the league this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread suggests an extreme rushing game script for the Ravens, who are a huge favorite by 7.5 points.

The projections expect the Ravens as the least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 48.0% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has conceded the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (55.5%) versus WRs this year (55.5%).

The Rams pass defense has shown strong efficiency vs. wideouts this year, conceding 7.14 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-fewest in the NFL.

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