Nyheim Hines Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-118/-122).
Key Factors
Favors Over
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 129.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts have run the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 64.7 plays per game.
The Indianapolis Colts have risked going for it on 4th down 23.6% of the time since the start of last season (7th-most in football), which generally means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive metrics across the board.
Favors Under
The Indianapolis Colts will be rolling with backup quarterback Sam Ehlinger in this week's contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
The Colts have been the 10th-least run-heavy team in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 35.8% run rate.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Indianapolis Colts offensive line ranks as the 2nd-worst in football this year at run-game blocking.
Nyheim Hines has rushed for significantly fewer yards per game (3.0) this season than he did last season (15.0).