Nyheim Hines Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Nyheim Hines

NFL · Player Props

Nyheim Hines

RB · Indianapolis Colts

Rushing Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Nyheim Hines Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-112/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 9th-most run-heavy team in football (adjusted for context) right now with a 40.2% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 128.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weather report calls for 15-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
The Indianapolis Colts offensive line grades out as the 8th-best in football since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.
The Kansas City Chiefs defense owns the 8th-worst efficiency against opposing running games since the start of last season, allowing 4.74 yards-per-carry.

Favors Under

The Colts are a 4.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
The Indianapolis Colts have gone no-huddle on a lowly 2.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in football). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production.

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