Nyheim Hines Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Nyheim Hines

NFL · Player Props

Nyheim Hines

RB · Indianapolis Colts

Rushing Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Nyheim Hines Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (+109/-136).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -136.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Colts are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts to be the 8th-most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 44.4% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Colts to call the 6th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts have played in the 9th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which should result in lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced passing offense performance when facing windier conditions in this week's contest.
The Indianapolis Colts O-line profiles as the 8th-best in football since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.

Favors Under

The Jacksonville Jaguars have stacked the box against opponents on 22.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Indianapolis Colts have gone no-huddle on a measly 2.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in football). This slows down the pace, leading to less volume and stat production.

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