Nyheim Hines Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Nyheim Hines

NFL · Player Props

Nyheim Hines

RB · Indianapolis Colts

Rushing Yards

Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 11:34 PM UTC

Analysis

Nyheim Hines Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-115/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Colts are a big 7-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
The Colts rank as the 7th-most run-oriented team in football (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 40.0% run rate.
The Indianapolis Colts O-line profiles as the 8th-best in football since the start of last season at opening holes for runners.
Opposing teams have run for the 3rd-most yards in the NFL (143 per game) against the Houston Texans defense since the start of last season.
The Houston Texans safeties rank as the 31st-worst group of safeties in football since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 121.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Indianapolis Colts have gone no-huddle on just 2.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in the NFL). This deadens the pace, leading to less volume and stat production.

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