My Account Log Out
 
 
Nyheim Hines

Nyheim Hines Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 5

Denver Broncos vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Nyheim Hines Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+224/-360).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +250 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +224.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Indianapolis Colts have run the 7th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 64.2 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Nyheim Hines to be a more integral piece of his offense's running game near the end zone this week (36.0% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (6.7% in games he has played).
  • The Denver Broncos defensive ends project as the worst collection of DEs in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.
  • The Denver Broncos have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 9.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the league. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
  • The Indianapolis Colts have risked going for it on 4th down 23.6% of the time since the start of last season (7th-most in the NFL), which generally means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Colts are a 3-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-slowest pace on the slate this week, averaging 26.33 seconds per play based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Indianapolis Colts O-line ranks as the 2nd-worst in the league this year at run-game blocking.
  • Nyheim Hines has rushed for 0.00 touchdowns per game on the ground this year, one of the lowest marks in football among RBs (1st percentile).
  • Opposing offenses have run for the 6th-least touchdowns in the NFL (0.50 per game) vs. the Denver Broncos defense this year.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™