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Nyheim Hines

Nyheim Hines Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Nyheim Hines Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+118/-150).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Buffalo Bills will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.0% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills to be the most pass-oriented offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 71.7% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 131.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Nyheim Hines to earn 3.0 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 80th percentile among running backs.
  • Nyheim Hines's 19.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the league leaders: 88th percentile for running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bills are a huge 10.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
  • The New York Jets pass defense has given up the 6th-lowest Completion% in the league (72.3%) vs. RBs this year (72.3%).
  • The Buffalo Bills have been faced with a stacked the box on a mere 13.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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