Nyheim Hines Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+118/-150).
Key Factors
Favors Over
The Buffalo Bills will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.0% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills to be the most pass-oriented offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 71.7% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 131.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Nyheim Hines to earn 3.0 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 80th percentile among running backs.
Nyheim Hines's 19.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the league leaders: 88th percentile for running backs.
Favors Under
The Bills are a huge 10.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
The New York Jets pass defense has given up the 6th-lowest Completion% in the league (72.3%) vs. RBs this year (72.3%).
The Buffalo Bills have been faced with a stacked the box on a mere 13.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.