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Nyheim Hines Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-119/-111).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -107 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -119.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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THE BLITZ projects the Colts to call the 6th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.THE BLITZ projects Nyheim Hines to accumulate 5.2 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 96th percentile among running backs.Nyheim Hines's 19.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in the league: 89th percentile for running backs.Nyheim Hines has been among the top RB receiving threats since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 2.5 receptions per game while grading out in the 82nd percentile.Nyheim Hines's receiving reliability have gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% jumping from 72.9% to 100.0%.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts to be the 8th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.The Indianapolis Colts have played in the 9th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which should result in lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced passing offense performance when facing windier conditions in this week's contest.Opposing QBs have averaged 31.4 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season: 5th-least in the league.The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has given up the 6th-lowest Completion% in football (75.7%) to running backs since the start of last season (75.7%).The Jacksonville Jaguars pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 10th-fastest in the NFL since the start of last season.
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