Nyheim Hines Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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NFL · Player Props

Nyheim Hines

RB · Indianapolis Colts

Receiving Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 4:55 PM UTC

Analysis

Nyheim Hines Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Colts to call the 6th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Nyheim Hines to accumulate 5.2 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 96th percentile among running backs.
Nyheim Hines has totaled a colossal 8.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 98th percentile among RBs.
Nyheim Hines's 19.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in the league: 89th percentile for running backs.
Nyheim Hines has been among the leading pass-game RBs since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 20.0 yards per game while ranking in the 82nd percentile.

Favors Under

The Colts are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts to be the 8th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts have played in the 9th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which should result in lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced passing offense performance when facing windier conditions in this week's contest.
Opposing QBs have averaged 31.4 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season: 5th-least in the league.
The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has conceded the 8th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 31.0) versus RBs since the start of last season.