My Account Log Out

reorder

Noah Gray

Noah Gray Receptions
Player Prop Week 22

Philadelphia Eagles vs Kansas City Chiefs

Noah Gray Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Right now, the 2nd-most pass-oriented team in the league (68.3% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Chiefs.

The model projects the Chiefs offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.02 seconds per snap.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The Chiefs offensive line profiles as the 5th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing game metrics across the board.

Noah Gray's receiving reliability have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate jumping from 71.0% to 85.2%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Eagles, averaging the fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 26.4 per game) this year.

The Eagles pass defense has given up the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (71.6%) vs. TEs this year (71.6%).

As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, Philadelphia's unit has been exceptional this year, profiling as the 2nd-best in football.

More Noah Gray Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™