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Noah Gray

Noah Gray Receptions
Player Prop Week 20

Kansas City Chiefs vs Houston Texans

Noah Gray Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented team in the league (context-neutralized) right now with a 68.3% pass rate.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to have 136.5 plays on offense run: the most out of all the games this week.

The Chiefs have called the 7th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 59.5 plays per game.

The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all air attack metrics across the board.

Noah Gray's 85.0% Adjusted Completion Rate this season signifies a noteable progression in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 71.0% rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line suggests an extreme running game script for the Chiefs, who are overwhelmingly favored by 8.5 points.

The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Houston Texans defense this year: 9th-fewest in the NFL.

The Texans pass defense has given up the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (66.7%) versus TEs this year (66.7%).

When it comes to defensive ends getting after the quarterback, Houston's unit has been very good this year, grading out as the 5th-best in the NFL.

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