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Noah Gray

Noah Gray Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Kansas City Chiefs

Noah Gray Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-184/+140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -160 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -184.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 4th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 134.2 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

The Kansas City Chiefs have called the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 61.6 plays per game.

Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally lead to better passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and lower ground volume.

Noah Gray's 22.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 15.0.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Pittsburgh Steelers linebackers grade out as the 6th-best LB corps in the league this year in covering receivers.

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