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Noah Gray

Noah Gray Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers

Noah Gray Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-143/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -172 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Right now, the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL (66.6% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Chiefs.

The Chiefs have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 60.6 plays per game.

Noah Gray's 21.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been substantially better this season than it was last season at 15.0.

In regards to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Kansas City Chiefs profiles as the best in the league this year.

Noah Gray's play as a receiver has improved this year, averaging 2.8 adjusted catches compared to just 1.7 last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Chiefs, who are favored by 4 points.

This year, the fierce Chargers defense has allowed a mere 73.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the 10th-best rate in the NFL.

The Chargers linebackers project as the 4th-best LB corps in the league this year in covering receivers.

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