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Noah Gray

Noah Gray Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Carolina Panthers vs Kansas City Chiefs

Noah Gray Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-180/+145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -160 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -180.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Chiefs to be the 2nd-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 65.8% pass rate.

As it relates to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Kansas City Chiefs profiles as the best in the NFL this year.

Noah Gray's possession skills have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 71.0% to 89.5%.

The Panthers pass defense has yielded the 9th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (79.9%) to tight ends this year (79.9%).

The Panthers safeties rank as the 5th-worst unit in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Chiefs being a big 11-point favorite this week.

At the present time, the 10th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Kansas City Chiefs.

Noah Gray's 61.3% snap rate this season indicates an impressive boost in his offensive volume over last season's 49.9% figure.

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