Noah Gray Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Noah Gray

NFL · Player Props

Noah Gray

TE · Kansas City Chiefs

Receptions

New England Patriots vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 18, 2023 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

Noah Gray Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the Kansas City Chiefs as the 4th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 62.0% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The Patriots safeties grade out as the 9th-worst safety corps in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

Favors Under

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Chiefs are favored in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on rushing than their usual game plan.
Noah Gray's 78.0% Adjusted Completion Rate this year indicates a significant reduction in his receiving prowess over last year's 83.2% mark.

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