My Account Log Out

reorder

Noah Gray

Noah Gray Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Kansas City Chiefs vs Tennessee Titans

Noah Gray Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+136/-179).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs as the 7th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 62.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Opposing QBs have averaged 38.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Tennessee Titans defense this year: 6th-most in football.

Noah Gray's 11.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this season than it was last season at 3.5.

The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.

The Tennessee Titans pass defense has given up the 8th-highest Completion% in the league (80.3%) vs. tight ends this year (80.3%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chiefs are a big 13.5-point favorite this week, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Chiefs to run the 4th-least total plays on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Noah Gray's ball-catching skills have worsened this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 71.4% to 65.6%.

The Tennessee Titans defensive ends rank as the 3rd-best collection of DEs in the NFL this year when it comes to pass rush.

The Kansas City Chiefs have been faced with a stacked the box on just 9.3% of their plays since the start of last season, least in the league. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

More Noah Gray Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™