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Noah Gray

Noah Gray Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Rams

Noah Gray Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+175/-240).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the most pass-oriented offense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 72.4% pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects the Chiefs to call the 5th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 67.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Noah Gray has been used less as a potential target this year (33.7% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (19.8%).

The Los Angeles Rams safeties grade out as the 9th-worst unit in the league this year in pass coverage.

The Kansas City Chiefs O-line has allowed their QB 2.60 seconds before getting pressured (best in the league since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chiefs are a 5.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.

Opposing teams have averaged 32.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 10th-least in the NFL.

The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has yielded the 5th-lowest Completion% in the league (63%) vs. TEs this year (63.0%).

The Los Angeles Rams pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.37 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 4th-quickest in the NFL since the start of last season.

The Kansas City Chiefs have faced a stacked the box on a measly 9.3% of their plays since the start of last season, least in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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