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Noah Gray

Noah Gray Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

San Francisco 49ers vs Kansas City Chiefs

Noah Gray Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 64.7% of their opportunities: the greatest frequency among all teams this week.

Noah Gray has received a monstrous 9.2% of his offense's air yards this year: 81st percentile when it comes to TEs.

The Kansas City Chiefs O-line ranks as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all air attack metrics across the board.

Noah Gray's 32.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season indicates a material growth in his receiving prowess over last season's 19.0 rate.

Noah Gray's receiving reliability have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 71.0% to 92.2%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects this game to have the 3rd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 125.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The 49ers defense has given up the 7th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 34.0) to tight ends this year.

The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has been quite strong when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, allowing an average of 3.56 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-fewest in the NFL.

When it comes to linebackers in pass coverage, San Francisco's LB corps has been very good this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in the league.

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