My Account Log Out

reorder

Noah Gray

Noah Gray Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 22

Philadelphia Eagles vs Kansas City Chiefs

Noah Gray Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Right now, the 2nd-most pass-oriented team in the league (68.3% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Chiefs.

The model projects the Chiefs offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.02 seconds per snap.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Noah Gray has received a massive 8.5% of his team's air yards this year: 79th percentile when it comes to TEs.

The Chiefs offensive line profiles as the 5th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing game metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Eagles, averaging the fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 26.4 per game) this year.

The Eagles defense has surrendered the fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 31.0) vs. tight ends this year.

The Eagles pass defense has shown good efficiency versus tight ends this year, allowing 6.32 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-fewest in the league.

As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, Philadelphia's unit has been exceptional this year, profiling as the 2nd-best in football.

More Noah Gray Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™