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Noah Gray

Noah Gray Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 20

Kansas City Chiefs vs Houston Texans

Noah Gray Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented team in the league (context-neutralized) right now with a 68.3% pass rate.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to have 136.5 plays on offense run: the most out of all the games this week.

The Chiefs have called the 7th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 59.5 plays per game.

Noah Gray has notched a monstrous 21.0 air yards per game this year: 75th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all air attack metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line suggests an extreme running game script for the Chiefs, who are overwhelmingly favored by 8.5 points.

The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Houston Texans defense this year: 9th-fewest in the NFL.

This year, the fierce Houston Texans defense has given up a feeble 39.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing tight ends: the 4th-fewest in the NFL.

The Texans pass defense has given up the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (66.7%) versus TEs this year (66.7%).

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