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Noah Gray

Noah Gray Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Kansas City Chiefs

Noah Gray Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 4th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 134.2 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

The Kansas City Chiefs have called the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 61.6 plays per game.

Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally lead to better passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and lower ground volume.

When talking about air yards, Noah Gray grades out in the towering 77th percentile among TEs this year, accumulating a staggering 23.0 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Steelers pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency against tight ends this year, yielding 6.84 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-fewest in the NFL.

The Steelers pass defense has performed very well when opposing TEs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 3.87 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-fewest in the league.

The Pittsburgh Steelers linebackers grade out as the 6th-best LB corps in the league this year in covering receivers.

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