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Noah Gray

Noah Gray Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Kansas City Chiefs vs Houston Texans

Noah Gray Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 8th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 60.8% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 132.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The 2nd-most plays in the league have been run by the Chiefs this year (a colossal 61.4 per game on average).

The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may slide.

When it comes to air yards, Noah Gray grades out in the lofty 77th percentile among tight ends this year, accruing a monstrous 23.0 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is suggested by the Chiefs being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game.

The Texans defense has allowed the 5th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 42.0) to tight ends this year.

This year, the tough Houston Texans defense has allowed a puny 64.6% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the 2nd-best rate in the league.

The Texans defensive ends profile as the 6th-best unit in the NFL this year with their pass rush.

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