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Noah Gray

Noah Gray Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers

Noah Gray Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 30.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Right now, the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL (66.6% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Chiefs.

The Chiefs have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 60.6 plays per game.

In regards to air yards, Noah Gray ranks in the lofty 79th percentile among tight ends this year, averaging an impressive 23.0 per game.

Noah Gray's 21.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been substantially better this season than it was last season at 15.0.

In regards to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Kansas City Chiefs profiles as the best in the league this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Chiefs, who are favored by 4 points.

The Chargers defense has yielded the 2nd-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 37.0) vs. tight ends this year.

This year, the fierce Chargers pass defense has allowed the 2nd-least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing tight ends: a meager 3.2 YAC.

The Chargers linebackers project as the 4th-best LB corps in the league this year in covering receivers.

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