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Noah Gray

Noah Gray Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Carolina Panthers vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Noah Gray Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Chiefs to be the 2nd-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 65.8% pass rate.
  • Noah Gray grades out in the 78th percentile among tight ends this year with a monstrous 8.2% of his team's air yards accumulated.
  • As it relates to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Kansas City Chiefs profiles as the best in the NFL this year.
  • Noah Gray's 29.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season signifies a meaningful boost in his pass-catching ability over last season's 19.0 rate.
  • Noah Gray's possession skills have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 71.0% to 89.5%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Chiefs being a big 11-point favorite this week.
  • At the present time, the 10th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Kansas City Chiefs.
  • Noah Gray's 61.3% snap rate this season indicates an impressive boost in his offensive volume over last season's 49.9% figure.

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