Noah Gray Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 20

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Noah Gray

NFL · Player Props

Noah Gray

TE · Kansas City Chiefs

Receiving Yards

Kansas City Chiefs vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 20, 2022

Updated Jan 21, 2023 8:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Noah Gray Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 2nd-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 63.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 136.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.1 pass attempts per game against the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 7th-most in football.
The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has surrendered the most receiving yards per game in the league (50.0) vs. TEs this year.

Favors Under

The Chiefs are a giant 8.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
The Jacksonville Jaguars pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-fastest in the league since the start of last season.

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