My Account Log Out

reorder

Noah Gray

Noah Gray Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs

Noah Gray Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 5th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 64.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Chiefs to run the 6th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 67.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Kansas City Chiefs have called the 10th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a colossal 59.8 plays per game.

Noah Gray has been used less as a potential target this year (35.9% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (18.7%).

Noah Gray has posted significantly more air yards this season (14.0 per game) than he did last season (3.0 per game).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chiefs are a huge 8.5-point favorite in this game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.

The Denver Broncos pass defense has displayed good efficiency against TEs this year, yielding 7.09 yards-per-target to the position: the 10th-least in the NFL.

The Denver Broncos safeties grade out as the 2nd-best safety corps in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

The Kansas City Chiefs have been faced with a stacked the box on a mere 9.3% of their plays since the start of last season, least in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

The Denver Broncos have stacked the box versus opponents on just 9.1% of their plays since the start of last season, least in the NFL. Choosing not to position an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

More Noah Gray Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™