Noah Gray Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Noah Gray

NFL · Player Props

Noah Gray

TE · Kansas City Chiefs

Receiving Yards

Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 28, 2022 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Noah Gray Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+105/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the most pass-oriented offense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 72.4% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Chiefs to call the 5th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 67.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Noah Gray has been used less as a potential target this year (33.7% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (19.8%).
Noah Gray has compiled significantly more air yards this season (15.0 per game) than he did last season (2.0 per game).
Noah Gray has accumulated quite a few more receiving yards per game (17.0) this season than he did last season (4.0).

Favors Under

The Chiefs are a 5.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
Opposing teams have averaged 32.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 10th-least in the NFL.
The Los Angeles Rams defense has given up the 10th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 36.0) versus tight ends this year.
The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has yielded the 5th-lowest Completion% in the league (63%) vs. TEs this year (63.0%).
The Los Angeles Rams pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.37 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 4th-quickest in the NFL since the start of last season.

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