My Account Log Out
 
Noah Gray
NFL · Player Props
Noah Gray
TE · Kansas City Chiefs
Receiving TD
Cincinnati Bengals vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 13, 2022 Updated Dec 4, 2022 8:26 PM EST
NFL Props Noah Gray Receiving TD

Noah Gray Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+414/-908).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +433 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +414.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-most plays run among all games this week at 132.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have run the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 60.7 plays per game.
  • The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Noah Gray has totaled many more air yards this year (14.0 per game) than he did last year (3.0 per game).
  • Noah Gray's 12.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 4.2.
Favors Under
  • The Cincinnati Bengals defense has given up the 6th-least passing TDs in the league to TEs: 0.18 per game this year.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers project as the 5th-best LB corps in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have faced a stacked the box on a measly 9.3% of their plays since the start of last season, least in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have gone no-huddle on a measly 1.8% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (least in the league). This slows down the pace, leading to less volume and stat-padding.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have elected to go for it on 4th down a lowly 15.8% of the time since the start of last season (9th-least in the NFL), which generally means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive metrics across the board.
More Noah Gray Props Data by WriteNow™
About WriteNow