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Noah Fant

Noah Fant Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

New York Jets vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Noah Fant Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to be the 9th-most pass-oriented team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 62.3% pass rate.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 5th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 130.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Noah Fant has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this season (67.0% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last season (52.2%).
  • Noah Fant's 3.4 adjusted receptions per game this year signifies a noteworthy improvement in his pass-catching skills over last year's 2.3 rate.
  • Noah Fant's 87.5% Adjusted Catch% this season represents a significant progression in his pass-catching skills over last season's 75.3% rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Jets, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 30.8 per game) this year.
  • The Seattle offensive line ranks as the 5th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative influence on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • The Jets linebackers profile as the 9th-best group of LBs in football this year in covering receivers.

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