Noah Fant Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Noah Fant

NFL · Player Props

Noah Fant

TE · Seattle Seahawks

Receptions

Baltimore Ravens vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 5, 2023 8:21 PM EST

Analysis

Noah Fant Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+115/-155).

Key Factors

Favors Over

At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Seahawks are underdogs in this game, indicating more of an emphasis on passing than their usual approach.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 63.0% of their downs: the 6th-highest rate on the slate this week.
To the extent of a defense's effect on tempo, at 27.60 seconds per play, our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks as the 10th-fastest in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time.
Opposing teams have averaged 40.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.
Noah Fant's 86.8% Adjusted Catch% this year marks a substantial growth in his receiving ability over last year's 78.4% rate.

Favors Under

With a RATE1-RATE2 point regression in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive usage) from last season to this one, Noah Fant has been relied on much less in his offense's passing attack.
The Ravens pass defense has conceded the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (68.8%) vs. TEs this year (68.8%).
The Baltimore Ravens safeties grade out as the 2nd-best collection of safeties in football this year in covering receivers.

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