Noah Fant Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Noah Fant

NFL · Player Props

Noah Fant

TE · Seattle Seahawks

Receptions

Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 22, 2023 11:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Noah Fant Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+110/-140).

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the moment, the 9th-most pass-focused team in the NFL (62.9% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Seahawks.
Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being called for in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and lower run volume.
Noah Fant's 91.3% Adjusted Catch Rate this year shows a an impressive growth in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 78.4% figure.
The Arizona Cardinals safeties profile as the 8th-worst collection of safeties in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

Favors Under

This week's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Seahawks, who are a heavy favorite by 8.5 points.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to see just 127.1 offensive plays called: the 4th-lowest number among all games this week.
Noah Fant's 17.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 24.6.
The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has allowed the 9th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (68.3%) to tight ends this year (68.3%).

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