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Noah Fant

Noah Fant Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Seattle Seahawks vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Noah Fant Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+140/-185).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +155 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Seahawks to be the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 63.7% pass rate.
  • The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (2-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may go down.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is suggested by the Seahawks being a 4.5-point favorite this week.
  • Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Seattle Seahawks are predicted by the projections to run only 62.0 offensive plays in this contest: the lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The 6th-lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Seattle Seahawks this year (a lowly 55.5 per game on average).
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 34.7 pass attempts per game versus the Steelers defense this year: 9th-fewest in football.
  • Noah Fant's 16.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 24.6.

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