Noah Fant Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Noah Fant

NFL · Player Props

Noah Fant

TE · Seattle Seahawks

Receptions

Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Noah Fant Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+114/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -180 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast the Seahawks as the 8th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 60.6% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The Seattle Seahawks offense has played at the 9th-fastest pace in the league (adjusted for context) this year, averaging 26.93 seconds per snap.
Noah Fant is positioned as one of the best possession receivers in the league among TEs, catching a terrific 78.8% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 78th percentile.
As it relates to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Los Angeles's unit has been terrible this year, projecting as the worst in football.

Favors Under

Noah Fant's 15.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit worse this season than it was last season at 24.6.

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