Noah Fant Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Noah Fant

NFL · Player Props

Noah Fant

TE · Seattle Seahawks

Receptions

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 10, 2023 11:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Noah Fant Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Seahawks rank as the 8th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 63.7% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Seahawks to run the 3rd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Noah Fant's 24.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in football: 75th percentile for tight ends.
Noah Fant has been among the most sure-handed receivers in the league among tight ends, completing an impressive 78.4% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 83rd percentile.
The Los Angeles Rams safeties profile as the 3rd-worst safety corps in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

Favors Under

The Seahawks are a 4.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.
The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has conceded the 7th-lowest Completion% in football (68.7%) to TEs since the start of last season (68.7%).

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