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Noah Fant

Noah Fant Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Seattle Seahawks vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Noah Fant Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-101/-132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +112 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -132.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Noah Fant to accumulate 3.9 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 76th percentile among tight ends.
  • Noah Fant has been heavily involved in his team's pass game, garnering a Target Share of 17.7% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 91st percentile among TEs.
  • Noah Fant has been among the best pass-catching TEs since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 4.0 receptions per game while ranking in the 92nd percentile.
  • Noah Fant's possession skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Completion% jumping from 76.6% to 82.5%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Seahawks to run the 3rd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 59.1 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have run the least plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a mere 54.7 plays per game.
  • The Seattle Seahawks offensive line grades out as the 8th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
  • The Atlanta Falcons defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.43 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 9th-quickest in the NFL since the start of last season.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have faced a stacked the box on a mere 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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