Noah Fant Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-175/+145).
Key Factors
Favors Over
The Seahawks are a giant 8.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects Noah Fant to accumulate 3.9 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 75th percentile among tight ends.
Noah Fant has been an integral part of his team's offense, earning a Target Share of 18.3% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 91st percentile among TEs.
Noah Fant has been among the leading TE receiving threats since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 4.1 receptions per game while checking in at the 94th percentile.
The Seattle Seahawks have gone no-huddle on 15.5% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-most in football). This speeds up the pace, leading to more volume and stat accumulation.
Favors Under
THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks as the 5th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 51.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Seahawks to run the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 58.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Seattle Seahawks have run the least plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling just 55.1 plays per game.
The weather report calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
Opposing teams have averaged 30.3 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 3rd-least in football.