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Noah Fant

Noah Fant Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Seattle Seahawks vs New York Jets

Noah Fant Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+140/-180).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -175 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -180.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks as the 7th-most pass-heavy offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 64.4% pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 135.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

THE BLITZ projects Noah Fant to accumulate 5.4 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 87th percentile among tight ends.

Noah Fant has been among the best possession receivers in the league among TEs, catching a terrific 77.7% of balls thrown his way this year, checking in at the 80th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Seattle Seahawks have called the 9th-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 55.2 plays per game.

Noah Fant has been much less involved in his team's passing attack this season (11.7% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (18.5%).

Noah Fant's receiving talent has tailed off this year, accumulating a mere 2.9 yards per game compared to 4.2 last year.

The New York Jets defensive tackles profile as the 2nd-best collection of DTs in the NFL this year when it comes to rushing the passer.

The Seattle Seahawks have been faced with a stacked the box on just 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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