Noah Fant Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Noah Fant

NFL · Player Props

Noah Fant

TE · Seattle Seahawks

Receptions

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 16, 2022 12:26 AM EST

Analysis

Noah Fant Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-165/+135).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Seahawks are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks as the 7th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 62.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 6th-most in football.
THE BLITZ projects Noah Fant to notch 3.6 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 76th percentile among TEs.
The Seattle Seahawks offensive line ranks as the 9th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all passing game stats across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Seahawks to call the 6th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Seattle Seahawks have called the 3rd-least plays in football this year, averaging just 53.8 plays per game.
Noah Fant has been a much smaller piece of his offense's pass attack this season (11.6% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (18.5%).
Noah Fant's receiving performance has tailed off this year, compiling a measly 2.8 yards per game compared to 4.2 last year.
The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has allowed the 9th-lowest Completion% in the league (68.7%) versus tight ends this year (68.7%).

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