Noah Fant Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Noah Fant

NFL · Player Props

Noah Fant

TE · Seattle Seahawks

Receptions

Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Noah Fant Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-174/+128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +131 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks as the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 63.6% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks offense to be the 9th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.38 seconds per snap.
The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Noah Fant to earn 4.1 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 82nd percentile among TEs.
The Los Angeles Rams linebackers grade out as the 4th-worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

Favors Under

The Seahawks are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
Noah Fant has been a much smaller piece of his offense's passing game this season (12.2% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (18.5%).
Noah Fant's play as a receiver has diminished this year, averaging just 2.9 yards per game vs 4.2 last year.
The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has surrendered the 6th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (67.3%) to TEs this year (67.3%).
The Los Angeles Rams pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.37 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 4th-quickest in the NFL since the start of last season.

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