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Noah Fant

Noah Fant Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Seattle Seahawks vs New York Giants

Noah Fant Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Seahawks to be the 7th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 59.4% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Right now, the 4th-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Seattle Seahawks.

The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may go down.

Noah Fant has been less involved as a potential target this season (65.2% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (52.2%).

In this week's game, Noah Fant is forecasted by the model to position himself in the 75th percentile when it comes to TEs with 3.4 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Seahawks are favored in this week's game, indicating more of a focus on running than their standard approach.

Opposing QBs have averaged 30.5 pass attempts per game against the New York Giants defense this year: 9th-fewest in the league.

The Seattle Seahawks offensive line grades out as the worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative influence on all air attack metrics across the board.

Noah Fant's 70.5% Adjusted Catch Rate this season marks a remarkable drop-off in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 75.3% mark.

Noah Fant's pass-game effectiveness has tailed off this season, averaging a mere 7.05 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 8.94 mark last season.

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