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Noah Fant

Noah Fant Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Seattle Seahawks vs Denver Broncos

Noah Fant Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In this game, Noah Fant is forecasted by the predictive model to position himself in the 76th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 3.9 targets.

Noah Fant has garnered a colossal 7.4% of his team's air yards last year: 75th percentile among tight ends.

Noah Fant grades out as one of the most efficient pass-catchers in football among TEs, averaging a terrific 8.92 adjusted yards-per-target last year while checking in at the 92nd percentile.

Noah Fant is positioned as one of the top tight ends in the NFL at generating extra yardage, averaging an exceptional 5.59 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year while checking in at the 75th percentile.

Last year, the porous Denver Broncos defense has yielded a massive 62.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing TEs: the worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's line indicates a running game script for the Seahawks, who are favored by 4.5 points.

The model projects the Seahawks to be the 10th-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 55.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Seattle Seahawks are projected by the model to run only 62.2 offensive plays in this contest: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.

The Seahawks have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the league last year, averaging just 54.6 plays per game.

The Seahawks offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in football last year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

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