Noah Fant Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Noah Fant

NFL · Player Props

Noah Fant

TE · Seattle Seahawks

Receiving Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 22, 2023 11:16 PM EST

Analysis

Noah Fant Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the moment, the 9th-most pass-focused team in the NFL (62.9% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Seahawks.
Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being called for in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and lower run volume.
Noah Fant has accrued significantly more adjusted receiving yards per game (36.0) this season than he did last season (28.0).
Noah Fant's 91.3% Adjusted Catch Rate this year shows a an impressive growth in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 78.4% figure.
Noah Fant's 12.1 adjusted yards per target this season signifies a an impressive improvement in his receiving prowess over last season's 7.6 rate.

Favors Under

This week's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Seahawks, who are a heavy favorite by 8.5 points.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to see just 127.1 offensive plays called: the 4th-lowest number among all games this week.
Noah Fant has totaled significantly fewer air yards this year (18.0 per game) than he did last year (25.0 per game).
Noah Fant's 17.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 24.6.
This year, the strong Cardinals defense has conceded a feeble 36.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing TEs: the 10th-fewest in the NFL.

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