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Noah Fant

Noah Fant Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Seattle Seahawks vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Noah Fant Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Seahawks to be the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 63.7% pass rate.

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (2-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may go down.

Noah Fant's pass-catching efficiency has gotten better this year, accumulating 8.87 adjusted yards-per-target vs a mere 7.62 mark last year.

With an impressive 5.85 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (78th percentile) this year, Noah Fant has been as one of the best tight ends in the pass game in the NFL in space.

The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has been particularly weak when opposing TEs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 5.28 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 10th-most in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is suggested by the Seahawks being a 4.5-point favorite this week.

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Seattle Seahawks are predicted by the projections to run only 62.0 offensive plays in this contest: the lowest number on the slate this week.

The 6th-lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Seattle Seahawks this year (a lowly 55.5 per game on average).

Opposing QBs have averaged 34.7 pass attempts per game versus the Steelers defense this year: 9th-fewest in football.

After accumulating 25.0 air yards per game last year, Noah Fant has been a disappointment this year, currently averaging 18.0 per game.

More Noah Fant Player Props

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