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Noah Fant

Noah Fant Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Tennessee Titans vs Seattle Seahawks

Noah Fant Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the moment, the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (63.9% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Seahawks.

Noah Fant's 8.9 adjusted yards per target this year conveys a remarkable gain in his pass-catching ability over last year's 7.6 mark.

Noah Fant grades out as one of the best TEs in the league at generating extra yardage, averaging an impressive 5.85 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 79th percentile.

The Titans pass defense has been gouged for the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (79%) versus TEs this year (79.0%).

When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Tennessee's unit has been awful this year, profiling as the 4th-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is implied by the Seahawks being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest.

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Seattle Seahawks are anticipated by our trusted projection set to run only 62.3 offensive plays in this game: the 3rd-fewest among all teams this week.

The 6th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Seahawks this year (a mere 55.5 per game on average).

Noah Fant's 17.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive volume) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 24.6.

Noah Fant's 74.1% Adjusted Catch% this season reflects an impressive drop-off in his receiving ability over last season's 78.4% rate.

More Noah Fant Player Props

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