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Noah Fant

Noah Fant Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Dallas Cowboys vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Noah Fant Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Seahawks being a massive -9.5-point underdog this week.
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 66.0% of their downs: the 2nd-greatest rate among all teams this week.
  • Right now, the 9th-fastest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Seattle Seahawks.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Noah Fant's 9.7 adjusted yards per target this year shows a significant gain in his receiving proficiency over last year's 7.6 rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to lean on the pass against the Dallas Cowboys, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 30.5 per game) this year.
  • After accruing 25.0 air yards per game last year, Noah Fant has undergone a big decline this year, now pacing 16.0 per game.
  • Noah Fant's 15.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 24.6.
  • The Cowboys pass defense has excelled when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, giving up an average of 4.33 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 9th-fewest in the NFL.
  • When it comes to linebackers in pass coverage, Dallas's group of LBs has been exceptional this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in football.

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