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Noah Fant

Noah Fant Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers

Noah Fant Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Seahawks being a heavy -7-point underdog in this game.

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Seahawks to pass on 63.9% of their opportunities: the 5th-highest clip among all teams this week.

Opposing offenses have averaged 39.4 pass attempts per game against the 49ers defense this year: 4th-most in the league.

Noah Fant's pass-game effectiveness has gotten a boost this season, totaling 9.46 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a mere 7.62 mark last season.

Noah Fant's talent in picking up extra yardage have been refined this season, totaling 7.47 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a measly 5.30 mark last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Seattle Seahawks are anticipated by the model to run just 61.5 plays on offense in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.

The Seattle Seahawks have run the 8th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 56.0 plays per game.

After totaling 25.0 air yards per game last season, Noah Fant has fallen off this season, currently pacing 15.0 per game.

With a RATE1-RATE2 point decrease in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive volume) from last season to this one, Noah Fant has been relied on much less in his offense's air attack.

This year, the imposing 49ers defense has allowed a meager 37.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing TEs: the 3rd-best in football.

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