Noah Fant Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Noah Fant

NFL · Player Props

Noah Fant

TE · Seattle Seahawks

Receiving Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs Washington Commanders · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 12, 2023 9:26 PM EST

Analysis

Noah Fant Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the present time, the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in football (62.9% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Seattle Seahawks.
The projections expect this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 130.2 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The Washington Commanders defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 7th-most passes in the league (38.8 per game) this year.
Noah Fant's 81.5% Adjusted Completion% this season reflects a noteable improvement in his receiving ability over last season's 78.4% figure.
Noah Fant's 11.8 adjusted yards per target this season marks a noteable improvement in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 7.6 mark.

Favors Under

The Seahawks are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
The Seahawks have run the 5th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 53.8 plays per game.
After accumulating 25.0 air yards per game last year, Noah Fant has produced significantly less this year, currently boasting 16.0 per game.
With a RATE1-RATE2 point reduction in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) from last year to this one, Noah Fant has been incorporated much less in his offense's pass attack.
This year, the daunting Commanders defense has allowed a feeble 38.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing TEs: the 5th-best in the league.

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