Noah Fant Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Noah Fant

NFL · Player Props

Noah Fant

TE · Seattle Seahawks

Receiving Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 10, 2023 11:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Noah Fant Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Seahawks rank as the 8th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 63.7% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Seahawks to run the 3rd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Noah Fant has compiled a monstrous 25.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 77th percentile among tight ends.
Noah Fant's 24.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in football: 75th percentile for tight ends.
Noah Fant has been among the most sure-handed receivers in the league among tight ends, completing an impressive 78.4% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 83rd percentile.

Favors Under

The Seahawks are a 4.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.
The Los Angeles Rams defense has yielded the 8th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 38.0) to TEs since the start of last season.
The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has conceded the 7th-lowest Completion% in football (68.7%) to TEs since the start of last season (68.7%).

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