Noah Fant Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Noah Fant

NFL · Player Props

Noah Fant

TE · Seattle Seahawks

Receiving Yards

Los Angeles Chargers vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 11:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Noah Fant Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (+106/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ +106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Seahawks are a 4.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks to be the least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 60.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Noah Fant to accrue 4.9 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 86th percentile among TEs.

Favors Under

The Seattle Seahawks have called the 4th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 53.3 plays per game.
Noah Fant has been a less important option in his offense's passing offense this year (12.8% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (18.5%).
Noah Fant has notched far fewer air yards this year (20.0 per game) than he did last year (35.0 per game).
Noah Fant has accumulated many fewer receiving yards per game (25.0) this year than he did last year (41.0).
The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has given up the 10th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (68.3%) to tight ends this year (68.3%).

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